Independent Diagnostic — 7 Day Delivery

Commercial & Operational Risk.
Identified in 7 Days.

After an acquisition, the risks that compress EBITDA are rarely in the financial model. They're in revenue concentration, key-person dependencies, and operational fragility that only surface under pressure. Vantage 7 maps them — independently, in 7 days, board-ready.

€3,500
Fixed scope. Fixed fee. Board-ready report delivered in 7 days.
Non-disruptive review. No implementation within the same mandate — independence preserved by design.

CFOs inherit risk.
Rarely the
visibility.

The financial model closes. The acquisition completes. And within months, EBITDA moves in directions no one projected — not because the numbers were wrong, but because the commercial and operational risks were never mapped. Revenue concentrated in two clients. Operations dependent on one person. Margins compressing as the business scales. Vantage 7 gives CFOs and investors structured visibility into these risks before they become board conversations.
Revenue Risk

Client concentration, contract fragility, and churn signals that don't appear in headline revenue but compress EBITDA under any disruption.

Operational Risk

Key-person dependencies, process gaps, and supplier concentration that create execution fragility and delivery variance at the worst moments.

Margin Risk

Cost structures that scale non-linearly with growth, governance gaps, and leakage drivers invisible in monthly reporting until they accumulate.

01

Commercial Risk Heatmap

Revenue concentration, client dependency mapping, contract fragility, and churn signals that could distort EBITDA without warning.

02

EBITDA Sensitivity Snapshot

Margin exposure translated into executive scenarios — where costs scale non-linearly, and where revenue assumptions are fragile.

03

Margin Leakage Drivers

Cost structures, governance gaps, and operational behaviors that compress EBITDA under growth or disruption.

04

Operational Fragility Assessment

Key-person dependencies, process gaps, supplier concentration, and delivery predictability signals that create hidden execution risk.

05

90-Day Stabilization Priorities

A sequenced action plan focused on containment and visibility — without disrupting the business or the team.

06

Board Monitoring Framework

Quarterly triggers and leading indicators to keep risk visible after close — before it becomes a margin event on the P&L.

Primary

Post-Acquisition Stabilization

Immediate visibility into what can distort EBITDA in the first 90 days after close.

  • Revenue & margin risk mapping
  • Operational fragility signals
  • 90-day stabilization priorities
Secondary

Pre-Deal Validation

Independent risk framing before investment committee decisions or final negotiations.

  • Commercial red flags
  • Key-person & dependency risk
  • Margin assumption stress-test
Ongoing

Scaling Friction & Margin Compression

For portfolio companies where growth slows and costs rise unpredictably post-close.

  • Delivery & execution volatility
  • Governance & reporting gaps
  • Board monitoring triggers
Post-Acquisition / Portfolio CFO — Romania
7 days
High
90-day

Revenue Concentration Discovery & Stabilization Sequence

A portfolio CFO suspected margin compression post-close but attributed it to cost growth. The diagnostic revealed that three clients represented over 60% of revenue, with informal contract arrangements and no retention framework in place. Combined with a key-person dependency on the commercial director, the EBITDA risk was structural, not cyclical. The output provided a stabilization sequence focused on contract formalization, client diversification triggers, and a board monitoring framework — without disrupting the existing team dynamic.

Revenue concentration Key-person risk Board triggers
Key Signal

Top 3 clients = 62% of revenue with no formal retention contracts post-acquisition.

Board Trigger

If revenue concentration rises above 50% for two consecutive quarters, EBITDA exposure is structural.

Outcome

CFO gained board-ready visibility with a prioritized stabilization plan. Decision ambiguity reduced immediately post-close.

Pre-Deal Validation / Investment Committee — CEE
IC-ready
Clear
Capex

Operational Risk Framing for IC Decision

An investment team needed independent validation of scalability assumptions before committing to final terms. The diagnostic identified three critical operational dependencies — a single operations manager with undocumented processes, a supplier representing 40% of COGS with no contractual pricing lock, and a product roadmap with no delivery predictability framework. Findings were translated into a concise risk heatmap and IC-ready narrative, with explicit capex sensitivity for the modernization horizon required post-close.

Supplier concentration Process fragility Exit readiness
Key Signal

Single supplier = 40% COGS, no price lock. Margin exposure under any renegotiation.

Capex Sensitivity

Process documentation and system upgrade required within 18 months, implying unmodeled capex.

Outcome

IC received structured risk banding and stabilization priorities aligned to EBITDA protection. Improved post-close governance planning.

1

Kickoff + Evidence Request

Scope confirmation and data collection

  • Scope & priority alignment
  • Document & financial data request
  • Stakeholder interview mapping
2–4

Interviews + Analysis

Deep-dive across commercial and operational layers

  • CFO / CEO / key manager sessions
  • Revenue, cost & dependency review
  • Operational fragility mapping
5–7

Risk Mapping + Final Report

Board-ready deliverables

  • EBITDA sensitivity & risk heatmap
  • 90-day stabilization priorities
  • Board monitoring framework

Commercial

  • Client concentration & dependency
  • Contract fragility & renewal risk
  • Churn signals & pipeline quality
  • Pricing sustainability

Operational

  • Key-person dependencies
  • Process documentation gaps
  • Supplier & vendor concentration
  • Delivery predictability

Financial

  • Margin leakage drivers
  • Cost scaling behaviour
  • Governance & reporting gaps
  • Capex sensitivity horizon

Technology

  • System dependency risk
  • Infrastructure cost elasticity
  • Technical debt exposure
  • Modernization capex signals

Independent
by
design.

Vantage 7 operates as an independent diagnostic layer between the business and capital. We do not compete with internal teams, auditors, or advisors. We give the CFO something none of them can provide: unbiased, structured visibility into the commercial and operational risks that compress EBITDA after close — mapped before they escalate.

Where the engagement requires financial depth, we bring in qualified fiscal and financial consultants on a project basis. Independence is protected by design: diagnostics only, no implementation within the same mandate.